Worthy, S.J., S.R. Ashlock, A. Miller, J.N. Maloof, S.Y. Strauss, J.R. Gremer, J. Schmitt. In press. Phenological Shifts Fail to Mitigate Fitness Impacts of Delayed Rainy Season Onset in a Clade of Wildflowers. The American Naturalist.
Cuello, W.S., S.J. Schreiber, J.R. Gremer, P.C. Trimmer, D.L. Venable, and A. Sih. 2025. Shifting precipitation regimes influence optimal germination strategies and population dynamics in bet-hedging desert annuals. The American Naturalist 205(1).
Worthy, S.J. , A. Miller, S.R. Ashlock, E. Ceviker, J.N. Maloof, S.Y. Strauss, J. Schmitt, and J.R. Gremer. 2024. Germination responses to experimental rainfall timing identify potential vulnerability to climate change across a clade of California wildflowers. Ecology 105(11): e4423.
Worthy S.J., and J.R. Gremer. 2023. Understanding the drivers of intraspecific demographic variation: Needs and opportunities. American Journal of Botany 110(5): e16176.
Gremer, J.R. 2023. Looking to the past to understand the future: linking evolutionary modes of response with functional and life history traits in variable environments. New Phytologist 237(3): 751-757.
Munson S.M., J.B. Bradford, B.J. Butterfield, and J.R. Gremer. 2022. Primary production responses to extreme changes in North American Monsoon precipitation vary by elevation and plant functional composition through time. Journal of Ecology: 110(9): 2232-2245.
Eskelinen, A, E.C. Elwood, E.E. Beyen, S.P. Harrison, and J.R. Gremer. 2021. Vulnerability of grassland seed banks to resource-enhancing global changes. Ecology102:e03512.
Laughlin, D.C., J.R. Gremer, P.B. Adler, R.M. Mitchell, and M.M. Moore. 2020. The net effect of functional traits on fitness. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 35:1037-1047.
ten Brink, H., J. R. Gremer, and H. Kokko. 2020. Optimal germination times in unpredictable environments: the importance of dormancy for both among- and within-season variation. Ecology Letters 23(4): 620-630.
Gremer, J.R., A. Chiono, E. Suglia, M. Bontrager, L. Okafor, and J. Schmitt. 2020. Variation in the seasonal germination niche across an elevational gradient: The role of germination cueing in current and future climates. American Journal of Botany 107(2): 350-363.
Gremer, J. R., C. J. Wilcox, A. Chiono, E. Suglia, and J. Schmitt. 2020. Germination timing and chilling exposure create contingency in life history and influence fitness in the native wildflower Streptanthus tortuosus. Journal of Ecology 108: 239-255.
Cuello, W. S., J. R. Gremer, P. C. Trimmer, A. Sih, and S. J. Schreiber. 2019. Predicting evolutionarily stable strategies from functional responses of Sonoran Desert annuals to precipitation. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 286(1894): 20182613.
Munson, S.M, E.L. Bunting, J. B. Bradford, B.J. Butterfield, and J.R. Gremer. 2019. Plant production responses to precipitation differ along an elevation gradient and are enhanced under extremes. Ecosystems 22(4):699-708.
Gremer, J. R., C. Andrews, J. R. Norris, L. P. Thomas, S. M. Munson, M. C. Duniway, and J. B. Bradford. 2018. Increasing temperature seasonality may overwhelm shifts in soil moisture to favor shrub over grass dominance in Colorado Plateau drylands. Oecologia 188(4):1195-1207.
Winkler, D.E., J.R. Gremer, K.J. Chapin, M. Kao, and T.E. Huxman. 2018. Rapid alignment of functional trait variation with locality across the invaded range of Sahara mustard (Brassica tournefortii). American Journal of Botany 105(7): 1188-1197.
Butterfield, B. J., J. B. Bradford, S. M. Munson, and J. R. Gremer. 2017. Aridity increases below-ground niche breadth in grass communities. Plant Ecology 218(4): 385-394.
Gremer, J.R., S. Kimball, and D.L. Venable. 2016. Within and among-year germination in Sonoran Desert winter annuals: Bet hedging and predictive germination in a variable environment. Ecology Letters 19(10): 1209-1218.
Gremer, J. R., J. B. Bradford, S. M. Munson, and M. C. Duniway. 2015. Desert grassland responses to climate and soil moisture suggest divergent vulnerabilities across the southwestern US. Global Change Biology 21(11): 4049-4062.
Kimball, S., J. R. Gremer, G. A. Barron-Gafford, A. L. Angert, T. E. Huxman, and D. L. Venable. 2014. High Water-Use Efficiency and Growth Contribute to Success of Non-native Erodium cicutarium in a Sonoran Desert Winter Annual Community. Conservation Physiology.
Gremer, J. R. and D. L. Venable. 2014. Bet hedging in desert winter annual plants: Optimal strategies in a variable environment. Ecology Letters 17(3): 380–387.
Gremer, J. R., S. Kimball, K. R. Keck, T. E. Huxman, A. L. Angert, and D. L. Venable. 2013. Water-use efficiency and relative growth rate mediate competitive interactions in Sonoran Desert winter annual plants. American Journal of Botany 100(10): 2009–2015.
Huxman, T. E., S. Kimball, A. L. Angert, J. R. Gremer, G. A. Barron-Gafford, and D. L. Venable. 2013. Understanding past, contemporary, and future dynamics of plants, populations, and communities using Sonoran Desert winter annual plants. American Journal of Botany 100(7): 1369–1380.
Kimball, S., J. R. Gremer, T. E. Huxman, D. L. Venable, and A. L. Angert. 2013. Phenotypic selection favors missing trait combinations in coexisting annual plants. The American Naturalist 182(2): 191-207.
Gremer, J. R., and A. Sala. 2013. It is risky out there: The costs of emergence and the benefits of prolonged dormancy. Oecologia 172(4):937–947.
Tuomi, J., E. E. Crone, J. R. Gremer, A. Jäkäläniemi, P. Lesica, Bård Pedersen, and S. Ramula. 2013. Prolonged dormancy interacts with senescence for two perennial herbs. Journal of Ecology 101(3): 566-576.
Gremer, J. R., S. Kimball, A. L. Angert, D. L. Venable, and T. E. Huxman. 2012. Variation in photosynthetic response to temperature in a guild of winter annual plants. Ecology 93(12): 2693–2704.
Gremer, J. R., E. E. Crone, and P. Lesica. 2012. Are dormant plants hedging their bets? Demographic consequences of prolonged dormancy in variable environments. The American Naturalist 179(3): 315-327.
Kimball S., J. R. Gremer, A. L. Angert, T. E. Huxman, and D. L. Venable. 2012. Fitness and physiology in a variable environment. Oecologia 169(2):319-329.
Gremer, J. R., A. Sala, and E. E. Crone. 2010. Disappearing plants: Why they hide and how they return. Ecology 91(11):3407-3413.
Book Chapters and Other Publications
Gremer, J.R., S. Ramula, B. Pedersen, E.E. Crone, P. Lesica, A. Jäkäläniemi, and J. Tuomi. 2017. Complex life histories and senescence in plants: Avenues to escape age-related decline? In: The Evolution of Senescence in the Tree of Life. Shefferson, R.P., R. Salguero-Gomez, and O. Jones, editors. Cambridge University Press.
Andrews, C., J. Bradford, J. Norris, J.R. Gremer, M. Duniway, S. Munson, L. Thomas, and M. Swan. 2018. Modeling past and future soil moisture in Southern Colorado Plateau National Parks and Monuments. Project Brief. National Park Service. Fort Collins, Colorado.
More about water balance and climate change in our National Parks here.
LaForgia, M., D. L. Venable, and J.R. Gremer. In press. Plant regeneration from seeds in hot deserts. In: Plant regeneration from seeds: a global warming perspective. C.C. Baskin and J.M. Baskin, editors. Elsevier.